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WoW: What does this mean?

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Comments

  • NaqajNaqaj Member UncommonPosts: 1,673

    The graph ends on pretty much the exact same level as before Cata release, with an upwards trend.

    If people want to spin that into "WoW is dying", that's cool. Can't have everyone understand how to read statistics.

  • fallonfallonfallonfallon Member Posts: 99

    Doesnt really look like a graph showing population per say , but a graph of what classes people are playing. In other words at 1 poiint  on the graph alot of players were playing mages. This not a graph showing fluxuation of population just classes.

  • binary_0011binary_0011 Member Posts: 528

    no more popeye on TV.

  • AzrileAzrile Member Posts: 2,582

    Originally posted by Robokapp

    it means the addon wasnt compatible with 4.0

    Yep.. that addon was broke for almost 2 weeks.

    You also have to look at that 'peak' and undestand a couple things.  

    1.  When an expansion comes, players play a lot more hours than they normally do.  Even if WOW did not lose a single subscriber, these types of charts would show a spike because of all those players putting in 40 hour weeks that first week of the expansion.

    2.  December is ALWAYS the busiest month for MMORPGs.   Most college students have at least half the month off..  HS students might have the entire month off.

    This chart is about played time, and there were two big things in December that made that spike..

    Rift is better than AOC or Warhammer, but it still will NEVER have as many subscribers as it had the first two weeks.  It will drop much slower than AOC and War.. but it will still be a downward slope for at least the next 6 months.

  • fivorothfivoroth Member UncommonPosts: 3,916

    Originally posted by Robokapp

    Originally posted by fallonfallon

    Doesnt really look like a graph showing population per say , but a graph of what classes people are playing. In other words at 1 poiint  on the graph alot of players were playing mages. This not a graph showing fluxuation of population just classes.

     well, all classes follow a very similar trend. so when you add the y-axis up you get the population curve. and since the 10 lines follow same path, their sum follows a similar path.

     

    <--- engineer. it's finally useful. /rawr.

     

    you...make a point that's generally true, but not in this case. I mean it is true but the graph can be easily, at one glance used to estimate population from classes. it doesnt show it specifically, but its there. just add up the y-values.

    This graph shows how much people are playing and not how many people are playing. If one week I play 20 hours and then start plaing 5-10 hours for 2-3 months it doesn't mean I don't like the game or I will unsusbcribe. This graph may be related to population of course but it is not the same as having a graph of the population.

    Another thing is that all classes follow the same path as you have said. This is extremely wierd and in statistics you should be very wary when 10 variables behave in the exact same way and follow the exact same path. What is the probability of this happening? I would say extremely, extremely low.

    Mission in life: Vanquish all MMORPG.com trolls - especially TESO, WOW and GW2 trolls.

  • MMO.MaverickMMO.Maverick Member CommonPosts: 7,619

    I don't see why OP used that picture, I think this one is better because it's clearer and less cluttered:

     

     

    It seems that WoW has come down a lot from its CATA peak, as for how much and if that's a trend, only time can tell. If the decline really has had a noticeable impact should become clear in the quarterly conference about Q1 2011  Morhaime and other Activision Blizzard will be having.

    The ACTUAL size of MMORPG worlds: a comparison list between MMO's

    The ease with which predictions are made on these forums:
    Fratman: "I'm saying Spring 2012 at the earliest [for TOR release]. Anyone still clinging to 2011 is deluding themself at this point."

  • QazzQazz Member Posts: 577

     Ebb and Flow of subscribers is pretty normal.  People will be flipping back and forth from RIFT to WoW like a bratty teenager between divorced parents.

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