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I have a prediciton for 2014. ESO will "fail." Why? Because it's a bad game? Nope. Because, no one can tell who the market is for this game? No. Because, TES fans will be turned off by the subs? No. Because there won't be enough endgame PvE? No. Nope it will "fail" because it seems the majority of the MMO community has already decided it will do so.
Frankly, I don't care if it has 250,000 subs, 500,000 subs, 1 million subs, 5 million subs, etc. To me, it will be a success if they nail the endgame 3 faction PvP and have a dedicated loyal player base for that PvP. If that happens, I'll be having fun for years to come and people playing WildStar, EQN, or whatever the MMO du jour is can rant all they want about the terrible failure that is ESO.
Now, if they don't nail that experience, then in my mind it will truly fail and I'll be moving on to Star Citizen and Camelot: Unchained. But, I'm at least going to approach the launch of ESO with an open mind.
Just my 2cp,