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GW2 at 2M boxes sold, MOP double?

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  • DOGMA1138DOGMA1138 none of your buidnessPosts: 476Member Uncommon
    Originally posted by slicknslim88

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ns-IIn-DG-c

    This vid has probably been posted a lot, but it's still relevant to threads like these.  It's not about GW2 either.  It's about the Pay to Play business model, it's strengths, and it's weaknesses.

    All fanboi's should look at it objectively.

    Sorry that video has some major issues.

    The author of the video has no idea what "Cost of Sale" or how its usually called "Cost of goods Sold"(COGS) is.

    He didnt even bothered reading the same annual report he's quoting from(which was an old one), or just intentionally ingored it.

    "Cost of sales includes manufacturing costs, software royalties and amortization, and intellectual property licenses."

    It does not cover operation expenses, and buisness overhead such as rent, salleries, and other expenses.

    He ignores the fact that Guild Wars is not a free to play game, any game with a cash shop is not free to play, if they will not make sufficient money from the cash shop they will either have to redsign the game to make it more "attractive" to players to buy items from the cash shop, or cut expenses.

    Due to WoW and the expansion of the MMORPG market in the past decade the inital launch costs of any AAA MMO these days are huge.

    WoW did not sell 2-3M copies in the first 1 or 2 months,  Blizzard had never had to deal with the expenses which come from an immidate influx of players. You need a heck of a support staff, and an infrastructure capable of supporting 2-3 times the players you most likely have 3-6 months down the line. 

    If any thing cash shop MMO's especially ones with box costs milk money from players from day one and not a month(or in some cases more) down the line.

     According to the 2011 annual report, the Cost of Sale for Blizzards Online subscripiton was 238M US.

    This is only the cost of sale for the actual subscription, and does not include the cost of sale for the game it self, not for selling Cataclysm/Legacy Boxes, Digital Downloads of the Game, Support, R&D and other things.

    MMO's take alot of money to develop, and even more money to support do they require a sub to be viable? no, but they do require a constant infulx of money from some where - cash shop, constant paid content updates, and other revenue streams.

    There is a reason why when WoW launched they launched with very well arguable more content than EQ had at the time, heck more than any other MMO had at the time in terms of Zones(Amount and Size), Mobs, POI, Quests, and Instances.

    GW2 has alot of content, and some of it is good, but even it doesnt even scartches what WoW launched with(and dont forget that during the first 3 months they've actually released a few lower level instances), and does not come any where near what it has now.

    Sorry but 8 dungeons, with the first one being at freaking level 30, and the rest spaced very far apart is still one of my major issues with GW2.

     

  • slickbizzleslickbizzle Matthews, NCPosts: 464Member
    MoP should sell very well.  I am, however, curious as to why Blizzard hasn't hyped the game up with a "X amount of preorders!" announcement. Or why they haven't paid this site to bump up the numbers in the "Most Popular Games" section.
  • ShadoedShadoed BirminghamPosts: 1,499Member Uncommon
    Originally posted by slickbizzle
    MoP should sell very well.  I am, however, curious as to why Blizzard hasn't hyped the game up with a "X amount of preorders!" announcement. Or why they haven't paid this site to bump up the numbers in the "Most Popular Games" section.

    As far as i can remember they have never released any pre-order figures with any of the expansions, but the hype train is well and truely rolling. Adverts are running in prime time slots here in the UK and everyone that either plays the game or has played the game will have got an e-mail this week inviting them to come along to the midnight launch parties they have arranged including appearences from some of the devs to sign your collectors editions.

    It must be Thursday, i never could get the hang of Thursdays.

  • Vunak23Vunak23 In your house eatin'' your cookies, FLPosts: 635Member
    Originally posted by laserit
    Originally posted by Azrile

    I may be short on my prediction.   GW2 announced that they had sold 2M boxes so far, with another 10 days until MOP.  I had predicted that MOP would sell double, in it´s first day (and only in the west),  than GW2 sold in the month leading up to MOP.  While most of GW2 occurred the first week, you gotta figure they are still pulling in 100k per week... so give them 2.3M boxes when MOP launches.

    I don´t think MOP gets 4.6M sales, even 4.2 will be pushing it.

    One telling thing though is how many people are riding around on the collector´s edition Mounts.  Not only does that indicate that a ton of people have already bought MOP, but that they paid $60 for it.  Those mounts are so common now that I wouldn´t even use it if I had it.

    2M for GW2 is a huge number... but in reality, MOP will sell almost double that in 1 day to people who will also have to pay $15 per month, and that is only in the West.

    I like Blizzard´s business model much better.

    Putting the two games aside

    OP please explain to me: Why you like Blizzard's business model better.

    $15 a month versus $0 per month and both games you have the option to purchase items in a cash shop.

    Me personally, I hate F2P games. Specially F2P games with an initial box fee. F2P brings in more money for a reason, its a greedy business model. I'm not a childso 15$ a month is no big deal,  I'm not so cheap that I can't scrounge together 15$ to support a company that is upfront with there player base. 

    You know what the 15$ a month is going towards. Nobody is getting an advantage, everyone is on even playing fields. Servers are being maintained and content is coming in at a resonable pace. 

    If you can't afford 15$ a month, or care to support a game company for 15$ a month then you need to work your priorities out. 

    "In the immediate future, we have this one, and then we’ve got another one that is actually going to be – so we’re going to have, what we want to do, is in January, what we’re targeting to do, this may or may not happen, so you can’t hold me to it. But what we’re targeting to do, is have a fun anniversary to the Ilum shenanigans that happened. An alien race might invade, and they might crash into Ilum and there might be some new activities that happen on the planet." ~Gabe Amatangelo

  • ShadoedShadoed BirminghamPosts: 1,499Member Uncommon
    Originally posted by Vunak23

    Me personally, I hate F2P games. Specially F2P games with an initial box fee. F2P brings in more money for a reason, its a greedy business model. I'm not a childso 15$ a month is no big deal,  I'm not so cheap that I can't scrounge together 15$ to support a company that is upfront with there player base. 

    You know what the 15$ a month is going towards. Nobody is getting an advantage, everyone is on even playing fields. Servers are being maintained and content is coming in at a resonable pace. 

    If you can't afford 15$ a month, or care to support a game company for 15$ a month then you need to work your priorities out. 

    To be fair, i don't think it has anything to do with priority or whether someone has the $15/month or not, it comes down to whether they see the value in spending that $15 or not and some do, some don't. What i do object to is someone spitting venom in my direction just because i do see a value to the money i spend and they don't as it isn't their money i am spending and i am not trying to convince them to see a value where they don't currently see it.

    It must be Thursday, i never could get the hang of Thursdays.

  • botrytisbotrytis In Flux, MIPosts: 2,567Member
    Originally posted by Vunak23
    Originally posted by laserit
    Originally posted by Azrile

    I may be short on my prediction.   GW2 announced that they had sold 2M boxes so far, with another 10 days until MOP.  I had predicted that MOP would sell double, in it´s first day (and only in the west),  than GW2 sold in the month leading up to MOP.  While most of GW2 occurred the first week, you gotta figure they are still pulling in 100k per week... so give them 2.3M boxes when MOP launches.

    I don´t think MOP gets 4.6M sales, even 4.2 will be pushing it.

    One telling thing though is how many people are riding around on the collector´s edition Mounts.  Not only does that indicate that a ton of people have already bought MOP, but that they paid $60 for it.  Those mounts are so common now that I wouldn´t even use it if I had it.

    2M for GW2 is a huge number... but in reality, MOP will sell almost double that in 1 day to people who will also have to pay $15 per month, and that is only in the West.

    I like Blizzard´s business model much better.

    Putting the two games aside

    OP please explain to me: Why you like Blizzard's business model better.

    $15 a month versus $0 per month and both games you have the option to purchase items in a cash shop.

    Me personally, I hate F2P games. Specially F2P games with an initial box fee. F2P brings in more money for a reason, its a greedy business model. I'm not a childso 15$ a month is no big deal,  I'm not so cheap that I can't scrounge together 15$ to support a company that is upfront with there player base. 

    You know what the 15$ a month is going towards. Nobody is getting an advantage, everyone is on even playing fields. Servers are being maintained and content is coming in at a resonable pace. 

    If you can't afford 15$ a month, or care to support a game company for 15$ a month then you need to work your priorities out. 

    Well, your priority is to pay 15 dollars a month for a game. Some people feel that 15 dollars can be spent better in other ways. it is just different ranking of priorities. You may not be a child but your attitude about not understanding that people may not want to spend 15 dollar a month sub IS CHILDISH.

     

    None of the models can really be called a greedy model - if the company can survive. We have seen many a sub game go down while a B2P game, like GW1 survived.

    image

    "In 50 years, when I talk to my grandchildren about these days, I'll make sure to mention what an accomplished MMO player I was. They are going to be so proud ..."
    by Naqaj - 7/17/2013 MMORPG.com forum

  • Vunak23Vunak23 In your house eatin'' your cookies, FLPosts: 635Member
    Originally posted by botrytis
    Originally posted by Vunak23
    Originally posted by laserit
    Originally posted by Azrile

    I may be short on my prediction.   GW2 announced that they had sold 2M boxes so far, with another 10 days until MOP.  I had predicted that MOP would sell double, in it´s first day (and only in the west),  than GW2 sold in the month leading up to MOP.  While most of GW2 occurred the first week, you gotta figure they are still pulling in 100k per week... so give them 2.3M boxes when MOP launches.

    I don´t think MOP gets 4.6M sales, even 4.2 will be pushing it.

    One telling thing though is how many people are riding around on the collector´s edition Mounts.  Not only does that indicate that a ton of people have already bought MOP, but that they paid $60 for it.  Those mounts are so common now that I wouldn´t even use it if I had it.

    2M for GW2 is a huge number... but in reality, MOP will sell almost double that in 1 day to people who will also have to pay $15 per month, and that is only in the West.

    I like Blizzard´s business model much better.

    Putting the two games aside

    OP please explain to me: Why you like Blizzard's business model better.

    $15 a month versus $0 per month and both games you have the option to purchase items in a cash shop.

    Me personally, I hate F2P games. Specially F2P games with an initial box fee. F2P brings in more money for a reason, its a greedy business model. I'm not a childso 15$ a month is no big deal,  I'm not so cheap that I can't scrounge together 15$ to support a company that is upfront with there player base. 

    You know what the 15$ a month is going towards. Nobody is getting an advantage, everyone is on even playing fields. Servers are being maintained and content is coming in at a resonable pace. 

    If you can't afford 15$ a month, or care to support a game company for 15$ a month then you need to work your priorities out. 

    Well, your priority is to pay 15 dollars a month for a game. Some people feel that 15 dollars can be spent better in other ways. it is just different ranking of priorities. You may not be a child but your attitude about not understanding that people may not want to spend 15 dollar a month sub IS CHILDISH.

     

    None of the models can really be called a greedy model - if the company can survive. We have seen many a sub game go down while a B2P game, like GW1 survived.

    In a F2P game, someone is being greedy. The consumer or the company. Either the consumer isn't supporting the company by not buying anything, or the company is being greedy and the consumer is dumping loads on the cashop. 

    Your misinterpreting what I'm saying. Yes I could think of a million other things I would rather spend $15 dollars on, but I am more willing to spend $15 dollars on a sub fee to support a game (I know what I am getting with this) then I am going into a F2P/B2P game not knowing if the person next to me spent a $100 on the game to buy gems and then sell those gems to buy armor off the broker, putting him well ahead of me. That is the defintion of P2W. 

    Unless a Cashop is strictly Cosmetic, it will be P2W. 

    P2P is the least greedy business model around. Sure the people that can't afford 15$ a month are going to be pretty pissed they can't access the game, but like I said, if you can't come up with 15$ a month priorities need to be rearranged because your probably unemployed. 

    "In the immediate future, we have this one, and then we’ve got another one that is actually going to be – so we’re going to have, what we want to do, is in January, what we’re targeting to do, this may or may not happen, so you can’t hold me to it. But what we’re targeting to do, is have a fun anniversary to the Ilum shenanigans that happened. An alien race might invade, and they might crash into Ilum and there might be some new activities that happen on the planet." ~Gabe Amatangelo

  • CrazerageCrazerage hebron, MDPosts: 18Member
    My thoughts exactly! We should all be happy there's more than one good mmo to go to.  I will support both guildwars2 and mop. 
  • JimmyYOJimmyYO Columbus, OHPosts: 520Member
    People aren't abandoning WoW because of GW2, heck GW2 won't even keep casuals busy for more then 3-4months. If MoP doesn't sell as well it's because people don't want to play Kung Fu Panda ripoffs made for 5 year olds.
  • rygard49rygard49 Huntington Beach, CAPosts: 975Member
    Originally posted by JimmyYO
    People aren't abandoning WoW because of GW2, heck GW2 won't even keep casuals busy for more then 3-4months. If MoP doesn't sell as well it's because people don't want to play Kung Fu Panda ripoffs made for 5 year olds.

    I'm obligated to inform you that Blizzard had Kung Fu Pandas before Kung Fu Pandas existed in cinema. They officially are not ripping off Pandaria from the Kung Fu Panda movies.

     

    Originally posted by halflife25

    I bought 3 copies since i and both of my brothers are goign to play MOP at release. We are also playing GW2 together. But what i am getting is at a lot of  us can play both games at same time one being B2P and all. Why it has to be a competition between the two?

    What will happen if say MOP outsells GW2 or if it fails to outsell GW2?

    Because GW2 developers have declared it to be a competition with statements like, and I'm paraphrasing, GW1 was number two to WoW so now they want to GW2 to beat WoW.

  • trenshodtrenshod charlotte, MIPosts: 128Member
    Originally posted by Azrile

    I may be short on my prediction.   GW2 announced that they had sold 2M boxes so far, with another 10 days until MOP.  I had predicted that MOP would sell double, in it´s first day (and only in the west),  than GW2 sold in the month leading up to MOP.  While most of GW2 occurred the first week, you gotta figure they are still pulling in 100k per week... so give them 2.3M boxes when MOP launches.

    I don´t think MOP gets 4.6M sales, even 4.2 will be pushing it.

    One telling thing though is how many people are riding around on the collector´s edition Mounts.  Not only does that indicate that a ton of people have already bought MOP, but that they paid $60 for it.  Those mounts are so common now that I wouldn´t even use it if I had it.

    2M for GW2 is a huge number... but in reality, MOP will sell almost double that in 1 day to people who will also have to pay $15 per month, and that is only in the West.

    I like Blizzard´s business model much better.

    Blizzard is just better than Anet, they made a gimicky game that just gets boring. Annual sub that extends well past the release of MoP so I'm playing. Pre-orded the digital collectors and will continue to put money towards Blizzard games. I'll give it to Anet for bucking the normal system but I'm sorry they fell short on longevity. I can't motivate myself to play the game any more.

  • ShadoedShadoed BirminghamPosts: 1,499Member Uncommon
    Originally posted by Vunak23

    P2P is the least greedy business model around. Sure the people that can't afford 15$ a month are going to be pretty pissed they can't access the game, but like I said, if you can't come up with 15$ a month priorities need to be rearranged because your probably unemployed. 

    Wow, that is a hugely ignorant statement to make! I, and i would presume most other people (apart from you it would seem) will know someone who works damned hard in their life but still live on the bread line and in this day and age with the economy the way it is, it is through no fault of their own. Finding $15/month for a game would be the last thing on their minds, actually no, wouldn't even feature on a list of things to consider paying for when you are living hand to mouth and need to pay their rent/mortgage, gas, electric, water and local taxes before even considering how they will eat that month!

    I really do hope that you never have to face that kind of hardship in your lifetime.

    On topic, had my two copies as confirmed to be on their way to me, so here's looking forward to next week.

    It must be Thursday, i never could get the hang of Thursdays.

  • XiaokiXiaoki White Pigeon, MIPosts: 2,605Member Uncommon


    Originally posted by rygard49
    I'm obligated to inform you that Blizzard had Kung Fu Pandas before Kung Fu Pandas existed in cinema. They officially are not ripping off Pandaria from the Kung Fu Panda movies.
    And Im obligated to inform you that was in Warcraft 3 Frozen Throne.


    Do you think any of the people saying "HUR HUR Kung Fu Panda rip off" even knew Warcraft existed back in 2003? Or were even old enough to play video games?

  • rygard49rygard49 Huntington Beach, CAPosts: 975Member
    Originally posted by Xiaoki

     


    Originally posted by rygard49
    I'm obligated to inform you that Blizzard had Kung Fu Pandas before Kung Fu Pandas existed in cinema. They officially are not ripping off Pandaria from the Kung Fu Panda movies.

    And Im obligated to inform you that was in Warcraft 3 Frozen Throne.

     


    Do you think any of the people saying "HUR HUR Kung Fu Panda rip off" even knew Warcraft existed back in 2003? Or were even old enough to play video games?

    *shrug* They should be informed and corrected when they're making a false statement, whether through ignorance or intent.

  • NomadMorlockNomadMorlock N/A, VAPosts: 593Member Uncommon
    Originally posted by Xiaoki

     


    Originally posted by rygard49
    I'm obligated to inform you that Blizzard had Kung Fu Pandas before Kung Fu Pandas existed in cinema. They officially are not ripping off Pandaria from the Kung Fu Panda movies.

    And Im obligated to inform you that was in Warcraft 3 Frozen Throne.

     


    Do you think any of the people saying "HUR HUR Kung Fu Panda rip off" even knew Warcraft existed back in 2003? Or were even old enough to play video games?

    What other people know or do not know, does not make you less wrong. 

  • RusqueRusque Las Vegas, NVPosts: 2,229Member Uncommon
    Originally posted by Shadoed
    Originally posted by Vunak23

    P2P is the least greedy business model around. Sure the people that can't afford 15$ a month are going to be pretty pissed they can't access the game, but like I said, if you can't come up with 15$ a month priorities need to be rearranged because your probably unemployed. 

    Wow, that is a hugely ignorant statement to make! I, and i would presume most other people (apart from you it would seem) will know someone who works damned hard in their life but still live on the bread line and in this day and age with the economy the way it is, it is through no fault of their own. Finding $15/month for a game would be the last thing on their minds, actually no, wouldn't even feature on a list of things to consider paying for when you are living hand to mouth and need to pay their rent/mortgage, gas, electric, water and local taxes before even considering how they will eat that month!

    I really do hope that you never have to face that kind of hardship in your lifetime.

    On topic, had my two copies as confirmed to be on their way to me, so here's looking forward to next week.

    What a crock. If someone has an internet connection and they're on hard times, they shouldn't be devoting time to videos games, they should be applying to jobs nonstop.  And if you're on such hard times that you're wondering where food will come from, it's time to call the cable company and have them turn off your connection. That's money that could be feeding your or paying your basic necessities.

    You're looking at an extremely niche group who has just enough money to pay for basic necessities, and their only remaining disposable income is for an internet connection. On top of that tiny group, these poor people you're talking about are also MMO gamers.

    If you have enough money for entertainment purposes, you would be well served to pay $15 a month for a video game or netflix as that is about the cheapest entertainment you can buy. If you are in a desperate situation like the one you describe, then you need to turn off that internet and go to the public library and use it for free.

  • Scypheroth87Scypheroth87 Prince Albert, SKPosts: 14Member

    sooo GW2 sold 2 million ok....now how much has WoW sold? this includes Vanilla, BC, Wrath and Cata....who wins now? If your going to compair GW2 to WoW in sales mind as well includ the entire WoW game not just ONE single expansion.....so what is that then 14million? 20million sold for WoW? Like to see GW2 beat that....thought thouse numbers are just outta my head....

     

    here r some real numbers not shur how accurate but shows wow has sold over 33Million copies of WoW including expansions TOTAL, makes GW2's 2 million looks like a poor man pissing in the wind....

    http://www.statisticbrain.com/blizzard-entertainment-statistics/

  • DihoruDihoru ConstantaPosts: 2,731Member
    Originally posted by Scypheroth87

    sooo GW2 sold 2 million ok....now how much has WoW sold? this includes Vanilla, BC, Wrath and Cata....who wins now? If your going to compair GW2 to WoW in sales mind as well includ the entire WoW game not just ONE single expansion.....so what is that then 14million? 20million sold for WoW? Like to see GW2 beat that....thought thouse numbers are just outta my head....

     

    here r some real numbers not shur how accurate but shows wow has sold over 33Million copies of WoW including expansions TOTAL, makes GW2's 2 million looks like a poor man pissing in the wind....

    http://www.statisticbrain.com/blizzard-entertainment-statistics/

    Gotta figure no one comes close to WoW http://www.gamasutra.com/view/news/32985/NCsofts_Annual_Revenues_Rise_While_Profits_Sink.php#.UFtMaFFuulA yeah... go blow your nose somewhere else junior before anyone whips out the Everquest stats, WoW is a shit clone of its predeceors while Guild Wars 2 is an iteration on the Lineage/Everquest model which improves it from every possible angle.

    image
  • OmnifishOmnifish LondonPosts: 616Member
    Originally posted by Leethe

    WoW has something like 6 million western players? Why would anyone not expect it to sell at least that much?

    I realize this thread is some sort of pissing contest but is there anyone who really feels that  Pandaland will not outsell GW2? And why are we comparing a game to an expansion of an already existing game?

    It's not difficult to understand.

    ANET have already stated that they are aiming at simiar markets as WoW caters to.  With the new expansion five days away, this will be the first time anyone who watches the market can see if GW2 has any affect on WoW's expansion numbers, or on the other hand GW2 suddenly takes a dip in active players, after release.

    Of course it's highly unaccurate, we are all just theorizing.  There are any numbers of other factors for retention or failing targets, which people could come up with.

    As for the OP I'm doubtful it'll do as well as Cata did first 24 hours, which will make it difficult to gauge how many are sold, (publishers tend to not post numbers unless they've beaten previous records, so you may have to wait for the quarterly reports).  However I would say MOP will outsell GW2 eventually as frankly there are more Blizzard fanbois then haters and plenty of them, while not as enthuastic as previous expansions, will buy this MOP anyway.

    This looks like a job for....The Riviera Kid!

  • Scypheroth87Scypheroth87 Prince Albert, SKPosts: 14Member
    Originally posted by Dihoru
    Originally posted by Scypheroth87

    sooo GW2 sold 2 million ok....now how much has WoW sold? this includes Vanilla, BC, Wrath and Cata....who wins now? If your going to compair GW2 to WoW in sales mind as well includ the entire WoW game not just ONE single expansion.....so what is that then 14million? 20million sold for WoW? Like to see GW2 beat that....thought thouse numbers are just outta my head....

     

    here r some real numbers not shur how accurate but shows wow has sold over 33Million copies of WoW including expansions TOTAL, makes GW2's 2 million looks like a poor man pissing in the wind....

    http://www.statisticbrain.com/blizzard-entertainment-statistics/

    Gotta figure no one comes close to WoW http://www.gamasutra.com/view/news/32985/NCsofts_Annual_Revenues_Rise_While_Profits_Sink.php#.UFtMaFFuulA yeah... go blow your nose somewhere else junior before anyone whips out the Everquest stats, WoW is a shit clone of its predeceors while Guild Wars 2 is an iteration on the Lineage/Everquest model which improves it from every possible angle.

    donno if that was directed at me cuz i fuckign hate WoW...WoW took alot for Everquest and they admitted that in a video where they actually met and talked with EQ founders and how they influanced WoW alot...

  • GravargGravarg Harker Heights, TXPosts: 3,332Member Uncommon
    I know alot of people that I've played many different games with over the years.  Alot of them are from WoW.  I guess I make friends easily.  Across 4 servers, I have maxed out my RealID friend list, and I keep in touch with numerous others in MSN, e-mail, and ingame.  Alot of people that have left are planning, or have already returned (it's only 5 days away) to WoW.
  • ShadoedShadoed BirminghamPosts: 1,499Member Uncommon
    Originally posted by Rusque
     

    What a crock. If someone has an internet connection and they're on hard times, they shouldn't be devoting time to videos games, they should be applying to jobs nonstop.  And if you're on such hard times that you're wondering where food will come from, it's time to call the cable company and have them turn off your connection. That's money that could be feeding your or paying your basic necessities.

    You're looking at an extremely niche group who has just enough money to pay for basic necessities, and their only remaining disposable income is for an internet connection. On top of that tiny group, these poor people you're talking about are also MMO gamers.

    If you have enough money for entertainment purposes, you would be well served to pay $15 a month for a video game or netflix as that is about the cheapest entertainment you can buy. If you are in a desperate situation like the one you describe, then you need to turn off that internet and go to the public library and use it for free.

    OK, my example may have been a little extreme, but my point was who is he, me or anyone else to tell someone that they have their priorities wrong if they can't afford to pay $15/month for a game subscription, it is both arrogant and ignorant.

    I have worked around the subprime credit markets for a long time and the one thing you learn very quickly is how much peoples priorities differ. There are things i would never spend money on in their situation, but they consider essential to their lifestyle and it isn't up to me or anyone else to tell them how to live their lives or judge them based on my own standards as they may find some of the things i spend my money on ridiculous.

    It must be Thursday, i never could get the hang of Thursdays.

  • HrimnirHrimnir Qeynos, COPosts: 1,597Member Uncommon
    Originally posted by Azrile

    I may be short on my prediction.   GW2 announced that they had sold 2M boxes so far, with another 10 days until MOP.  I had predicted that MOP would sell double, in it´s first day (and only in the west),  than GW2 sold in the month leading up to MOP.  While most of GW2 occurred the first week, you gotta figure they are still pulling in 100k per week... so give them 2.3M boxes when MOP launches.

    I don´t think MOP gets 4.6M sales, even 4.2 will be pushing it.

    One telling thing though is how many people are riding around on the collector´s edition Mounts.  Not only does that indicate that a ton of people have already bought MOP, but that they paid $60 for it.  Those mounts are so common now that I wouldn´t even use it if I had it.

    2M for GW2 is a huge number... but in reality, MOP will sell almost double that in 1 day to people who will also have to pay $15 per month, and that is only in the West.

    I like Blizzard´s business model much better.

    Cataclysm only sold 4.3 million in its first week and you think pandareah (yes i pronounce it like diarrhea) will sell the same?  Not going to happen.

    "The surest way to corrupt a youth is to instruct him to hold in higher esteem those who think alike than those who think differently."

    - Friedrich Nietzsche

  • roo67roo67 londonPosts: 402Member

    The boxed sales seem to be 1.7 million  http://www.vgchartz.com/game/37350/guild-wars-2/

    Its difficult to work out total sales from this . Its rumoured that there was around 1 million digital download pre-orders . So in the first month that could put it closer to three million or even more .

    If that indeed is the case to double that MoP would have to sell closer to six million units give or take a few hundred thousand .

    Looking this evening at the EU servers about an hour after MoP has gone live only 18 servers are at high status compared to 35 + for Cataclysm . Its still early days it could pick up tomorrow as its late for children to play now . But I would think initial download sales of MoP are comparitvly low compared to Cata .

    MOP will do well enough but to double GW2 total sales would be a big ask .

  • NadiaNadia Canonsburg, PAPosts: 11,866Member Common

    WOW LK sold 2.8m its first day

    http://massively.joystiq.com/2008/11/20/wows-lich-king-sells-record-2-8-million-copies-in-24-hours/

    WOW Cata sold 3.3m its first day and 4.7m its first month

    http://www.nbcnews.com/technology/ingame/world-warcraft-cataclysm-sells-4-7-million-copies-sets-record-125595

     

    i think MOP will sell well and players will be happy

    but im expecting MOP to sell less than LK at launch

     

    im half expecting that Blizzard will not announce "launch day" sales (for the first time ever)

    and will announce several weeks sales later in October

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