I would like to believe your guesstimates, but that is way to high.
I would say 2.5 and 4.0 million
That sounds about right. Maybe a little higher on the end, 2.5 and 5 million.
It just got posted, they are over the two million sold mark.
And China market hasnt opened up yet (and it will soon since the contract is made), and most importantly...the area where GW1 sold the most copies, South Korea hasn't started sales yet either (they are finishing the Korean version of the game right now). If the game hits 4 million in the US by the end of the year, I would estimae it sells around 20 mill. copies over its lifetime.
I'd like to hear other people's estimates for GW2 sales in the 1st month and 1st year. Here is my guess:
1st Month: 5 Million Copies (includes pre-purchases)
1st Year: 15 Million Copies
These might seem a little overly optimistic, but I'm betting that word of mouth will play a big role shortly after release. Either way, I think it's fun to discuss.
Won't you look like the fool if they only sell 14.9M copies
Originally posted by gessekai332 2 mil at first month is a safe and conservative bet.
OMG NICE!!! I was right LOL. wow i am awesome. thanks for necroing this thread lol.
the coming months will be extremely hard to predict though. It all depends on how much ncsoft is willing to put into marketting and how progressive is the type of added content a-net is able to put out in the next couple of months.
Most memorable games: AoC(Tryanny PvP), RIFT, GW, GW2, Ragnarok Online, Aion, FFXI, FFXIV, Secret World, League of Legends (Silver II rank)
Originally posted by gessekai332 2 mil at first month is a safe and conservative bet.
OMG NICE!!! I was right LOL. wow i am awesome. thanks for necroing this thread lol.
the coming months will be extremely hard to predict though. It all depends on how much ncsoft is willing to put into marketting and how progressive is the type of added content a-net is able to put out in the next couple of months.
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"Remember, remember - Kakk says 'December.'"
It just got posted, they are over the two million sold mark.
And China market hasnt opened up yet (and it will soon since the contract is made), and most importantly...the area where GW1 sold the most copies, South Korea hasn't started sales yet either (they are finishing the Korean version of the game right now). If the game hits 4 million in the US by the end of the year, I would estimae it sells around 20 mill. copies over its lifetime.
Won't you look like the fool if they only sell 14.9M copies
OMG NICE!!! I was right LOL. wow i am awesome. thanks for necroing this thread lol.
the coming months will be extremely hard to predict though. It all depends on how much ncsoft is willing to put into marketting and how progressive is the type of added content a-net is able to put out in the next couple of months.
Most memorable games: AoC(Tryanny PvP), RIFT, GW, GW2, Ragnarok Online, Aion, FFXI, FFXIV, Secret World, League of Legends (Silver II rank)
im upgrading my prediction to 4 million by end of 2012
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So how much was in the Pool