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I was reading Tobold's MMORPG blog and he guessed around 200k subscribers for LOTRO to start out.
http://tobolds.blogspot.com/2007/03/calibrating-my-crystal-ball.html
I'm sure it will grow beyond that, very smooth release so far. What you think?
If you think it's more, or less than the options here there is another poll later on, just vote once!
Comments
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Anyone expecting LOTRO to top WoW is in denial.
Like someone accurately predicted WOW's current mammoth subscriber base back in 2004.....please.
Dutchess Zarraa Voltayre
Reborn/Zero Sum/Ancient Legacy/Jagged Legion/Feared/Nuke & Pave.
Plus an aggressive release which will feature the MMO even in walmart so every complete noob can pick it up.
Yet you seriously think nobody is going to buy the game, nobody from open beta will stay, and a 3rd of the pre-orders will quit... because?
This is no buggy launch like vanguard, saga of ryzom, AO, Horizons, etc.
LotRO might not be bigger than WoW, but it is guaranteed to be in a subscriber category alone with it.
I wouldn't take the guy too seriously. But he does bring up some interesting points. Reasons people would preorder and not subscribe could be many. This poll/thread was only for the first number we will hear from Turbine on how many subscribers there are.
I'll add some options, only vote once please.
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The brand name will sell it in the millions, or not at all. Either it will sit at a respectable 250K or it will skyrocket up in the millions.
Quality is not the only watermark of a successful product. Recognition is an extremely powerful marketing entity. If you can bind the two together, you get the license to print your own money like Blizzard was able to do.
LOTRO is capable of this feat. We'll just have to see how the general public (meaning, people who do not read this website) feel about it.
In six months, Lord of the Rings Online will reach a MINIMUM of 3 MILLION subscribers. Just watch. Laugh now. Flame now. Whatever. But wait the six months and come back and throw this in my face if I am wrong.
- Zaxx
I think LoTRO will do very well I doubt it will every deThrone WoW but all the other MMos better get ready to slide down a notch
Watch your thoughts; they become words.
Watch your words; they become actions.
Watch your actions; they become habits.
Watch your habits; they become character.
Watch your character; it becomes your destiny.
Lao-Tze
this game will hover around 300k not bad not great there are 2 many games coming out for this game to be uber but it will be a good game for a long time and i was not counting all the gold farmers so like 350 k
Well as of now there are 18 servers. If you figure roughly 20k capacity for a server (not logged capacity), then you have a number up around 360k right now as a ballpark. Even being conservative, they probably have over 300k subs.
I'm willing to bet it will grow as well.
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Currently Playing: LOTRO; DDO
Played: AC2, AO, Auto Assault, CoX, DAoC, DDO, Earth&Beyond, EQ1, EQ2, EVE, Fallen Earth, Jumpgate, Roma Victor, Second Life, SWG, V:SoH, WoW, World War II Online.
Games I'm watching: Infinity: The Quest for Earth, Force of Arms.
Find the Truth: http://www.factcheck.org/
Even though I preordered and played in the open beta I've yet to get my copy, in fact won't get it till May cause we poor buggers in NZ are 2nd class citz
So you'll see another small bump in subscribers once we all get on board .
A clue for you: LOTR universe/lore is many many years old and known by billions.
There is no such thing as EQ/Warcraft/Warhammer/etc lore outside the computer and the roleplay world - which is a couple million ppl at BEST.
DB
Denial makes one look a lot dumber than he/she actually is.
A clue for you: LOTR universe/lore is many many years old and known by billions.
There is no such thing as EQ/Warcraft/Warhammer/etc lore outside the computer and the roleplay world - which is a couple million ppl at BEST.
DB
and what does that have to do with the online game? Star wars has the same kind of fan base so does Dungens and Dragons so what your point just because the IP is good and is known by BILLIONS doesnt mean a BILLION players will play it
A clue for you: LOTR universe/lore is many many years old and known by billions.
There is no such thing as EQ/Warcraft/Warhammer/etc lore outside the computer and the roleplay world - which is a couple million ppl at BEST.
DB
and what does that have to do with the online game? Star wars has the same kind of fan base so does Dungens and Dragons so what your point just because the IP is good and is known by BILLIONS doesnt mean a BILLION players will play it
Noone was talking about a billion players.
Wow has broadened the MMOG genre and LOTR has a huge fanbase. (DnD fanbase don't make me laugh trying to compare ) This is their chance to jump in.
BTW a beautiful, solid, fun to play and very accessible game should have more than 500k subscribers on its own merits, no need for a huge IP anyway...
DB
Denial makes one look a lot dumber than he/she actually is.
A clue for you: LOTR universe/lore is many many years old and known by billions.
There is no such thing as EQ/Warcraft/Warhammer/etc lore outside the computer and the roleplay world - which is a couple million ppl at BEST.
DB
and what does that have to do with the online game? Star wars has the same kind of fan base so does Dungens and Dragons so what your point just because the IP is good and is known by BILLIONS doesnt mean a BILLION players will play it
Noone was talking about a billion players.
Wow has broadened the MMOG genre and LOTR has a huge fanbase. (DnD fanbase don't make me laugh trying to compare ) This is their chance to jump in.
BTW a beautiful, solid, fun to play and very accessible game should have more than 500k subscribers on its own merits, no need for a huge IP anyway...
DB
List of SOE lies
200 000 subs in april (maybe)
100 000 in 3 months
50 000 in 6 months (Founder offer 6 months and ... cancel
- 10 000 in december (no isengard no minas tirith etc): only founder offer/for life (5000 boxes + 5000 others imo)
was in beta since december 2006 and i'm not going to subscribe not even take the standard box.
BUT my account isn't closed so turbine could say my account = 1 subscription
Where it will end up after it's all said and done? Around the 1 million mark. Reason would be that more news and, hopefully, release dates are given for the other major hitters and it seems that they have more hype/community building around them then this.
Then again, they may push back the dates for the other games farther, or there might be new content that blows everyone away and gets more subscribers. We will see eventually..
It is going to do well but I'm going to question its retainability over some other mmorpgs. If it has a lot of people only playing the game for two months, its subscription level may get to a point where it isn't rising as steeply as it could have done. But still, think it will amass 500k or so subscribers at some point, could even potentially get to a million. But it has a strong competitor with WoW and upcomming mmorpgs like Age of Conan on the horizon.
Its just a rumor that for some reason is now accepted as fact.
You can Spar players , but o wait, you can't gank them LOL. It is funny how mmorpg genre has gotten so twisted .
who me ?